Wednesday, January 28, 2009

The Right Wing Media is Killing the Republican Party.


The right-wing media (Fox "News", Rush Limbaugh, et al.) is destroying the Republican party. It used to be a huge benefit for the party, having a propaganda machine with an iron grip on the base, but in the failure of the Bush administration, this asset has turned into a liability. The American people have seen first hand the results of conservative governance, and it has scared the shit out of them. So much so, they elected a president that can only be described as the polar opposite of Bush. The Republican party is now in a political wilderness, and its propaganda machine isn't helping.

The best way to correct error is through feedback. You try something, you learn it doesn't work, and you correct your error. However, the right-wing media has broken the Republican feedback loop. The Republican base (the 25% or so that think Bush did a good job) envelops itself in a bubble world, where America is a center-right nation, McCain didn't win because he wasn't conservative enough, and Sarah Palin would make a great president. The right-wing media slings "comfort food" stories to a base that wants nothing else. The propagandists aren't interested in changing, as their income depends on serving the demands of their audience. Coulter, Malkin, Limbaugh, O'Reilly, Hannity, and the rest make their living by stirring up the base, fighting the liberal demons at every turn. Though this may line their pockets, its killing the Republican party. How can the party change when the base doesn't recognize that its wrong?

Sunday, January 25, 2009

Poe was right!

From the Rational Wiki:

Poe's Law relates to fundamentalism, and the difficulty of identifying actual parodies thereof. It suggests that, in general, it is hard to tell fake fundamentalism from the real thing, since they may both espouse equally extreme beliefs. Poe's law also works in reverse: real fundamentalism can also be indistinguishable from parody fundamentalism.
Recently I stumbled across the video below posted in the Christianity subreddit at reddit.com (my home at home), and had a hard time believing that it wasn't done by an Atheist. Watch the video and let me know what you think by taking the poll below. Enjoy!





casino online Web polls

Thursday, January 15, 2009

Some Thoughts on Evidence


Hearsay is a second-hand account of purported facts. It is "a friend of a friend said..." or "my cousin's brother's uncle said..." It is the basis of urban legend and rumor, and is perhaps the least reliable form of evidence devised by man. In fact, it is so unreliable that as a rule it is generally inadmissible in federal court, as well as the courts of all fifty states. As explained by the Supreme Court in Chambers v. Mississippi:

The hearsay rule, which has long been recognized and respected by virtually every State, is based on experience and grounded in the notion that untrustworthy evidence should not be presented to the triers of fact. Out-of-court statements are traditionally excluded because they lack the conventional indicia of reliability: they are usually not made under oath or other circumstances that impress the speaker with the solemnity of his statements; the declarant's word is not subject to cross-examination; and he is not available in order that his demeanor and credibility may be assessed by the jury.

So why am I boring you with arcane legal mumbo-jumbo? Because the bible is nothing more than Bronze Age hearsay. As Thomas Paine put it:

[A]dmitting, for the sake of a case, that something has been revealed to a certain person, and not revealed to any other person, it is revelation to that person only. When he tells it to a second person, a second to a third, a third to a fourth, and so on, it ceases to be a revelation to all those persons. It is revelation to the first person only, and hearsay to every other, and, consequently, they are not obliged to believe it.

It is a contradiction in terms and ideas to call anything a revelation that comes to us at second hand, either verbally or in writing. Revelation is necessarily limited to the first communication. After this, it is only an account of something which that person says was a revelation made to him; and though he may find himself obliged to believe it, it cannot be incumbent on me to believe it in the same manner, for it was not a revelation made to me, and I have only his word for it that it was made to him.

When Moses told the children of Israel that he received the two tables of the commandments from the hand of God, they were not obliged to believe him, because they had no other authority for it than his telling them so; and I have no other authority for it than some historian telling me so, the commandments carrying no internal evidence of divinity with them. They contain some good moral precepts such as any man qualified to be a lawgiver or a legislator could produce himself, without having recourse to supernatural intervention.

When I am told that the Koran was written in Heaven, and brought to Mahomet by an angel, the account comes to near the same kind of hearsay evidence and second hand authority as the former. I did not see the angel myself, and therefore I have a right not to believe it.

When also I am told that a woman, called the Virgin Mary, said, or gave out, that she was with child without any cohabitation with a man, and that her betrothed husband, Joseph, said that an angel told him so, I have a right to believe them or not: such a circumstance required a much stronger evidence than their bare word for it: but we have not even this; for neither Joseph nor Mary wrote any such matter themselves. It is only reported by others that they said so. It is hearsay upon hearsay, and I do not chose to rest my belief upon such evidence.

Carl Sagan once noted that "extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence." Certainly religion makes extraordinary claims - claims of gods and devils, of heaven and hell, and of cherubim and serpents. Despite these extraordinary claims, I have yet to see even ordinary evidence, of the type produced every single day in every court in America, let alone the extraordinary evidence necessary to lend credibility to outrageous claims of religion.



Friday, January 9, 2009

Do You Have Biblical Morals?

Take this Quiz I created. Have fun!

Sunday, January 4, 2009

44 vs. 43



Any questions?